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Bow-Tie Analysis

Business analysisRisk management

Reference model

Bow-Tie AnalysisA canvas of 4 boxes laid out on a grid of 2 columns and 2 rows: Hazard, Causes, Consequences, Controls.HazardThe central risk or event being analyzed.CausesFactors that could lead to the hazard occurring.ConsequencesPotential outcomes if the hazard occurs.ControlsMeasures to prevent or mitigate the risk.

The Bow-Tie diagram illustrates risks, their causes, consequences, and controls clearly.

About this model

A method that combines fault tree analysis and event tree analysis to provide a comprehensive view of risks and their management.

Originator not stated.

How to read it

  • Read the left side for causes and controls to prevent the risk.
  • Read the right side for consequences and controls to mitigate the impact.

What this does

Visualizes the relationship between potential risks, their causes, consequences, and controls, helping teams manage risk effectively.

When to use it

Use it when you need to understand and communicate the risk landscape for a specific event or hazard.

Not when: Do not use it when risks are too complex to simplify into a single diagram or when detailed quantitative analysis is required.

What happens next

Consider a risk register to track identified risks and controls over time.

Golden thread

Builds on ←

  • Risk identification
  • Risk assessment

Feeds into →

  • Risk management plan

Use this tool, free

Sign in to open the worksheet. Your work saves as you type, the AI can draft the parts you have not filled in, and you finish with an analysis and a 30/60/90-day action plan.

Drafted with AI and reviewed by Eccellere on 04/11/2026. Guidance, not advice: apply your own judgement.