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Pivot-or-Persist Check

L1Decision ModelsGrowth and portfoliodiagnosticStages 5 to 6

Reference model

Pivot or persistThree questions, each leading to a path. Is the core still defensible? If yes, persist. Is there a credible reinvention path when the core is weak? If yes, pivot. Is staying the best use of the capital and the team? If no, or if there is no path, exit and redeploy.1Is the core stilldefensible?Do customers still need it, and isthere an edge rivals cannot copy?Yes (4–5)PERSISTDefend and improve the core2Is there a crediblereinvention path?A specific new direction with customerpull, using capabilities you haveCore weak,path crediblePIVOTChange one fundamental thing andtest it3Is staying the best use ofthe capital and team?Compared with the best alternative useof the same money and peopleNo (1–2), orno pathEXIT AND REDEPLOYWind down or sell; redeploy thecapitalScore each question 1 (no) to 5 (yes): the weakest answer matters most.

Three questions in order lead to three paths: persist, pivot or exit and redeploy.

About this model

When growth has stalled, the honest question is not “how do we grow faster?” but “should we still be doing this?”. Three tests give the answer: is the core still defensible, is there a credible way to reinvent it, and is staying the best use of the capital and the people?

Eric Ries — The Lean Startup (the pivot-or-persevere decision); the exit option follows standard corporate-renewal practice · 2011

How to read it

  • Score each question from 1 (no) to 5 (yes) and write the evidence. The paths follow the scores: a defensible core persists; a weak core with a credible reinvention pivots; a business that is not the best use of its capital, or has neither, exits and redeploys.
  • A pivot is a structured course correction that keeps what you have learned and changes one fundamental thing — the customer, the need, the channel, the way you earn — to test a new hypothesis.
  • This is a Renewal-phase tool. One bad year is a Value Scan question; pivot-or-persist is for a business that has stalled for more than a year.

What this does

A structured gut-check for a business that has plateaued or is losing ground — is the core still defensible, does it need reinvention, or is it time to wind down and redeploy capital elsewhere?

When to use it

Renewal phase, when growth has stalled for more than a year and the honest question is no longer 'how do we grow faster' but 'should we still be doing this.'

Not when: Earlier lifecycle stages, or a business that's merely had one bad year — a single down year is a Value Scan question, not a pivot-or-persist one.

What happens next

A 'pivot' verdict feeds the Three Horizons Model's H3 bet; an 'exit' verdict feeds the Financial Model's wind-down scenario; a 'persist' verdict returns to the standard Value Scan cycle.

Golden thread

Builds on ←

  • corecompetence
  • vrio

Feeds into →

  • horizons3
  • financial

Framework library: Strategy and environment (layer L1), lifecycle stages 5 to 6.

Use this tool, free

Sign in to open the worksheet. Your work saves as you type, the AI can draft the parts you have not filled in, and you finish with an analysis and a 30/60/90-day action plan.

Hand-built by Eccellere and reviewed by Eccellere on 02/11/2026. Guidance, not advice: apply your own judgement.